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Semifinal 2-12021 NMRC Open
Red171
327729.1
87655.3
423821.7
Blue197
313424.8
591361.4
525330.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111210200300400500600700171197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#2
55.31.6
53.5→55.0
Auto13.7
Teleop19.7
End21.9
blue by 6.1
5913
#3
61.41.3
58.2→59.5
Auto19.5
Teleop15.5
End26.3
Second
3277
#10
29.11.6
27.3→28.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.0
End14.1
blue by 1.7
5253
#7
30.81.3
27.6→28.9
Auto7.1
Teleop5.5
End18.2
Third
4238
#5
21.71.6
19.9→21.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End15.7
blue by 3.1
3134
#12
24.81.3
21.6→22.9
Auto10.2
Teleop2.7
End12.0