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Qual 122021 NMRC Invitational
Red100
565830.4
83727.7
375057.9
Blue117
842211.4
313423.0
331325.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11163050150200250100117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3750
Unranked
57.90.5
57.1→57.6
Auto15.3
Teleop25.4
End17.1
red by 32.9
3313
Unranked
25.00.7
26.5→27.2
Auto5.4
Teleop5.6
End13.9
Second
5658
Unranked
30.40.5
28.2→28.7
Auto6.4
Teleop7.1
End16.9
red by 7.4
3134
Unranked
23.00.7
22.4→23.1
Auto10.6
Teleop3.8
End8.6
Third
8372
Unranked
7.70.5
8.3→8.8
Auto1.0
Teleop-1.2
End8.0
blue by 3.7
8422
Unranked
11.40.7
13.3→14.0
Auto2.5
Teleop-1.0
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
18%Shield Operational oddsMissed17%Shield Operational oddsMissed