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Red173
301535.4
34062.5
234022.3
Blue157
150755.4
525433.2
630029.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13413280100120160180200173157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#1
62.50.0
62.562.5
Auto17.8
Teleop23.5
End21.2
red by 7.1
55.40.0
55.455.4
Auto20.9
Teleop14.3
End20.2
Second
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto11.9
Teleop8.7
End14.7
red by 2.2
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto11.2
Teleop8.2
End13.8
Third
2340
#25
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto7.5
Teleop5.5
End9.3
blue by 7.5
6300
#24
29.80.0
29.829.8
Auto10.1
Teleop7.4
End12.4