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Red214
301535.4
34062.5
234022.3
Blue68
155951.2
37827.9
379923.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138111020030040050060021468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#1
62.50.0
62.562.5
Auto17.8
Teleop23.5
End21.2
red by 11.3
1559
#12
51.20.0
51.251.2
Auto14.8
Teleop17.3
End19.1
Second
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto11.9
Teleop8.7
End14.7
red by 7.5
378
#5
27.90.0
27.927.9
Auto9.4
Teleop6.9
End11.6
Third
2340
#25
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto7.5
Teleop5.5
End9.3
blue by 1.7
3799
#23
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto8.1
Teleop5.9
End10.0