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Red158
237425.4
142558.0
Blue256
371146.4
703424.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9676050150200250158256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
Unranked
58.00.0
58.058.0
Auto22.4
Teleop17.1
End18.5
red by 11.6
3711
Unranked
46.40.0
46.446.4
Auto12.5
Teleop4.4
End29.4
Second
2374
Unranked
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto8.6
Teleop6.3
End10.6
red by 1.1
7034
Unranked
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto8.2
Teleop6.0
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
1%Shield Energized odds1%Shield Energized odds
Shield Operational
12%Shield Operational odds33%Shield Operational odds