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Red154
804418.2
361627.5
998318.2
Blue106
593023.9
999218.2
433639.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68940200400600800154106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto11.3
Teleop5.4
End10.8
blue by 11.8
4336
#12
39.30.0
39.339.3
Auto14.4
Teleop8.7
End16.2
Second
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End7.6
blue by 5.6
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto8.1
Teleop5.9
End9.9
Third
9983
#14
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End7.6
Level
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End7.6