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Red169
34341.9
445158.1
999819.5
Blue58
493516.1
572428.9
348931.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1427605010020025030035040016958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.10.0
58.158.1
Auto20.0
Teleop16.9
End21.2
red by 26.7
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto8.9
Teleop6.8
End15.7
Second
343
#2
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto12.4
Teleop12.7
End16.8
red by 13.1
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto9.7
Teleop7.1
End12.0
Third
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop16.2
End3.8
red by 3.4
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto8.4
Teleop2.1
End5.5