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Red281
988918.2
331050.0
586627.9
Blue159
420617.4
458723.0
461043.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11091050150200250300281159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.00.0
50.050.0
Auto16.8
Teleop11.1
End22.1
red by 6.3
4610
#27
43.70.0
43.743.7
Auto11.1
Teleop11.3
End21.3
Second
5866
#17
27.90.0
27.927.9
Auto10.9
Teleop2.5
End14.5
red by 4.9
4587
#10
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto6.3
Teleop7.3
End9.5
Third
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End7.6
red by 0.8
4206
#15
17.40.0
17.417.4
Auto10.1
Teleop3.6
End3.7