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Red171
258233.2
817734.3
473415.0
Blue155
988818.2
542736.8
436421.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9384050150200250171155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.30.0
34.334.3
Auto9.2
Teleop12.0
End13.1
blue by 2.5
36.80.0
36.836.8
Auto9.2
Teleop4.4
End23.1
Second
2582
#11
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto14.0
Teleop5.4
End13.9
red by 11.8
4364
#24
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto7.2
Teleop5.3
End8.9
Third
4734
#13
15.00.0
15.015.0
Auto7.7
Teleop3.5
End3.8
blue by 3.2
9888
#22
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End7.6