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Red133
246869.6
770813.2
586627.9
Blue125
421930.8
542736.8
557228.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126104050150200250300133125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#23
69.60.0
69.669.6
Auto21.4
Teleop21.8
End26.4
red by 32.8
36.80.0
36.836.8
Auto9.2
Teleop4.4
End23.1
Second
5866
#17
27.90.0
27.927.9
Auto10.9
Teleop2.5
End14.5
blue by 2.9
4219
#28
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto6.7
Teleop6.1
End18.1
Third
7708
#18
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto6.1
Teleop-1.6
End8.7
blue by 15.4
5572
#25
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto10.5
Teleop3.7
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized odds0%Shield Energized odds
Shield Operational
26%Shield Operational odds31%Shield Operational odds