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Red117
406332.8
749231.9
23146.8
Blue214
598619.6
589253.1
14882.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151820300400500117214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#16
46.80.0
46.846.8
Auto12.4
Teleop13.7
End20.7
blue by 35.8
148
#10
82.60.0
82.682.6
Auto22.6
Teleop30.0
End30.0
Second
4063
#21
32.80.0
32.832.8
Auto8.8
Teleop12.9
End11.1
blue by 20.3
53.10.0
53.153.1
Auto15.1
Teleop23.2
End14.8
Third
7492
#20
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto8.5
Teleop2.2
End21.2
red by 12.3
5986
#19
19.60.0
19.619.6
Auto5.6
Teleop3.7
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized odds0%Shield Energized odds
Shield Operational
18%Shield Operational odds19%Shield Operational odds