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Red235
62447.6
271456.9
541735.2
Blue171
23146.8
129618.9
857318.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16782050100150200250300235171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.0
56.956.9
Auto17.7
Teleop10.9
End28.3
red by 10.1
231
#16
46.80.0
46.846.8
Auto12.4
Teleop13.7
End20.7
Second
624
#3
47.60.0
47.647.6
Auto14.6
Teleop8.2
End24.8
red by 28.7
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto6.4
Teleop4.7
End7.8
Third
5417
#31
35.20.0
35.235.2
Auto9.8
Teleop3.7
End21.7
red by 17.0
8573
#22
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End7.6