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Red257
988918.2
331050.0
586627.9
Blue203
62447.6
271456.9
541735.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98165050150200250300257203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
Unranked
50.00.0
50.050.0
Auto16.8
Teleop11.1
End22.1
blue by 7.0
2714
Unranked
56.90.0
56.956.9
Auto17.7
Teleop10.9
End28.3
Second
5866
Unranked
27.90.0
27.927.9
Auto10.9
Teleop2.5
End14.5
blue by 19.7
624
Unranked
47.60.0
47.647.6
Auto14.6
Teleop8.2
End24.8
Third
9889
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End7.6
blue by 17.0
5417
Unranked
35.20.0
35.235.2
Auto9.8
Teleop3.7
End21.7