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Red79
210644.8
61932.2
409937.7
Blue149
38435.0
40141.8
219935.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12912405010015020025079149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2106
#18
44.80.0
44.844.8
Auto16.1
Teleop12.3
End16.5
red by 3.1
401
#11
41.80.0
41.841.8
Auto10.3
Teleop3.2
End28.3
Second
4099
#10
37.70.0
37.737.7
Auto13.0
Teleop7.7
End17.0
red by 2.6
35.10.0
35.135.1
Auto12.5
Teleop6.2
End16.5
Third
619
#7
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto12.3
Teleop8.1
End11.9
blue by 2.8
384
#8
35.00.0
35.035.0
Auto16.5
Teleop6.1
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized odds0%Shield Energized odds
Shield Operational
9%Shield Operational odds27%Shield Operational odds