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Red98
17149.5
93037.6
207727.1
Blue65
125953.4
999915.5
179221.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791040501502002503003509865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
Unranked
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto14.3
Teleop10.5
End12.8
blue by 15.8
1259
Unranked
53.40.0
53.453.4
Auto21.6
Teleop17.0
End14.8
Second
2077
Unranked
27.10.0
27.127.1
Auto9.1
Teleop6.7
End11.3
red by 6.0
1792
Unranked
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto9.8
Teleop7.8
End3.5
Third
1714
Unranked
9.50.0
9.59.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.3
End3.8
blue by 6.0
9999
Unranked
15.50.0
15.515.5
Auto2.2
Teleop6.9
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized odds1%Shield Energized odds
Shield Operational
15%Shield Operational odds3%Shield Operational odds