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Red136
5933.3
36451.2
395926.6
Blue80
80120.8
541021.9
255622.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1285910015020013680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#1
51.20.5
51.251.7
Auto13.6
Teleop25.7
End11.9
red by 28.6
2556
#26
22.50.3
22.222.6
Auto6.5
Teleop7.1
End9.0
Second
59
#2
33.30.5
33.433.9
Auto9.7
Teleop14.0
End9.7
red by 11.4
5410
#14
21.90.3
21.621.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End4.9
Third
3959
#15
26.60.6
26.727.3
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End4.4
red by 5.8
801
#20
20.80.3
20.520.8
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End9.8