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Red89
14427.7
682331.3
103811.1
Blue97
110226.1
711125.6
297322.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72812040601001201408997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.4
31.031.3
Auto8.2
Teleop17.1
End6.0
red by 5.3
1102
#11
26.10.3
26.326.6
Auto7.2
Teleop8.3
End10.6
Second
144
#6
27.70.4
27.327.7
Auto6.7
Teleop13.6
End7.4
red by 2.0
25.60.4
25.826.2
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End5.5
Third
1038
#39
11.10.4
10.811.1
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End4.4
blue by 11.3
2973
#25
22.40.3
22.622.9
Auto7.7
Teleop5.5
End9.2