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Red80
10822.8
682331.3
255622.5
Blue46
201015.8
59656.0
548436.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58522030407080901008046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.31.7
23.325.0
Auto8.2
Teleop17.1
End6.0
blue by 4.7
36.00.2
30.630.4
Auto7.6
Teleop15.3
End13.1
Second
108
#12
22.81.7
18.320.0
Auto5.9
Teleop10.9
End6.0
red by 7.0
2010
#16
15.80.3
14.113.8
Auto3.0
Teleop8.4
End4.3
Third
2556
#26
22.51.7
12.314.1
Auto6.5
Teleop7.1
End9.0
red by 16.5
5965
#49
6.00.2
4.94.7
Auto1.3
Teleop1.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsEarned41%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsEarned42%Hangar oddsEarned