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Red34
346510.8
401310.0
14119.0
Blue58
665221.4
395926.6
74307.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3744102030506070803458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#29
19.00.1
14.914.8
Auto6.2
Teleop8.3
End4.5
blue by 7.6
3959
#15
26.62.0
13.515.5
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End4.4
Second
3465
#45
10.80.1
9.29.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End4.2
blue by 10.6
6652
#21
21.41.3
15.416.7
Auto6.9
Teleop12.0
End2.4
Third
4013
#40
10.00.1
11.611.5
Auto2.6
Teleop6.8
End0.5
red by 2.1
7430
#46
7.81.2
11.412.6
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed