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Red33
32528.3
50052.1
744610.3
Blue55
381422.7
349015.1
80120.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425302060801003355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#4
28.30.8
24.423.6
Auto8.5
Teleop14.2
End5.6
red by 5.7
3814
#23
22.70.2
23.623.8
Auto5.6
Teleop4.0
End13.1
Second
7446
#38
10.31.3
11.510.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End3.7
blue by 10.5
801
#20
20.80.2
9.49.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End9.8
Third
5005
#44
2.10.8
4.63.9
Auto2.0
Teleop1.0
End-0.9
blue by 13.0
3490
#27
15.10.2
15.415.6
Auto5.2
Teleop4.2
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed35%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed65%Hangar oddsEarned