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Red45
47645.9
320117.6
14119.0
Blue48
87723.3
171029.4
401310.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314301020506070804548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#29
19.00.9
13.914.9
Auto6.2
Teleop8.3
End4.5
blue by 10.4
29.40.6
19.520.1
Auto8.3
Teleop16.5
End4.6
Second
3201
#13
17.61.2
12.413.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End4.7
red by 7.6
4013
#40
10.00.6
11.011.6
Auto2.6
Teleop6.8
End0.5
Third
4764
#42
5.90.9
4.55.5
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End2.8
red by 2.6
8772
#37
3.35.9
3.39.2
Auto2.2
Teleop0.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed40%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed