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Red52
636616.8
255622.5
59656.0
Blue80
365326.3
381422.7
401310.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276402040801005280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2556
#26
22.51.4
14.716.1
Auto6.5
Teleop7.1
End9.0
blue by 3.8
3653
#10
26.31.7
21.222.8
Auto7.9
Teleop13.8
End4.6
Second
6366
#22
16.81.4
11.613.0
Auto6.2
Teleop1.3
End9.3
blue by 5.9
3814
#23
22.71.7
23.625.3
Auto5.6
Teleop4.0
End13.1
Third
5965
#49
6.01.4
4.05.5
Auto1.3
Teleop1.2
End3.6
blue by 3.9
4013
#40
10.01.7
10.512.1
Auto2.6
Teleop6.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed42%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsEarned40%Hangar oddsEarned