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Red38
50052.1
384314.9
548436.0
Blue56
651727.0
395926.6
823213.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4853203040607080903856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.5
32.431.9
Auto7.6
Teleop15.3
End13.1
red by 9.1
27.00.5
17.918.3
Auto9.1
Teleop11.6
End6.3
Second
3843
#30
14.90.9
8.77.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End4.9
blue by 11.7
3959
#15
26.60.8
19.019.7
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End4.4
Third
5005
#44
2.10.5
5.04.5
Auto2.0
Teleop1.0
End-0.9
blue by 11.6
8232
#19
13.70.5
12.312.7
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed42%Hangar oddsMissed