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Red24
349015.1
54716.9
88383.3
Blue12
44713.9
87738.2
882310.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372602060801002412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
547
#18
16.91.5
14.112.6
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End4.3
red by 6.8
8823
#32
10.11.5
12.310.8
Auto4.5
Teleop1.4
End4.2
Second
3490
#27
15.10.9
15.114.2
Auto5.2
Teleop4.2
End5.7
red by 6.8
8773
#36
8.21.5
7.66.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End1.4
Third
8838
#48
3.31.5
4.42.9
Auto0.7
Teleop2.2
End0.3
blue by 0.7
4471
#47
3.90.9
5.64.7
Auto3.3
Teleop1.6
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed