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Red67
384314.9
14427.7
365326.3
Blue44
201015.8
381422.7
74307.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5854203040507080906744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#6
27.70.9
23.524.3
Auto6.7
Teleop13.6
End7.4
red by 5.0
3814
#23
22.70.5
25.324.8
Auto5.6
Teleop4.0
End13.1
Second
3653
#10
26.30.9
22.823.7
Auto7.9
Teleop13.8
End4.6
red by 10.6
2010
#16
15.80.5
16.215.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.4
End4.3
Third
3843
#30
14.91.4
7.89.2
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End4.9
red by 7.1
7430
#46
7.80.5
9.69.1
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
48%Cargo oddsEarned53%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsEarned65%Hangar oddsEarned