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Red71
365326.3
711125.6
110226.1
Blue41
69373.9
80120.8
255622.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51270204060807141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3653
#10
26.32.4
17.219.5
Auto7.9
Teleop13.8
End4.6
red by 3.8
2556
#26
22.50.9
11.512.3
Auto6.5
Teleop7.1
End9.0
Second
1102
#11
26.12.4
17.620.0
Auto7.2
Teleop8.3
End10.6
red by 5.3
801
#20
20.81.2
8.29.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End9.8
Third
25.62.9
9.712.6
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End5.5
red by 21.7
6937
#43
3.91.4
8.39.7
Auto1.8
Teleop0.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsEarned8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned29%Hangar oddsMissed