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Red27
541021.9
349015.1
87738.2
Blue57
636616.8
80120.8
346510.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414410203050607080902757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5410
#14
21.90.8
20.219.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End4.9
red by 1.1
801
#20
20.81.0
17.218.2
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End9.8
Second
3490
#27
15.10.8
14.914.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.2
End5.7
blue by 1.7
6366
#22
16.81.0
14.015.1
Auto6.2
Teleop1.3
End9.3
Third
8773
#36
8.21.4
4.22.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End1.4
blue by 2.6
3465
#45
10.81.0
10.111.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed54%Hangar oddsEarned