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Red60
12023.8
47645.9
10822.8
Blue22
882310.1
365326.3
61076.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5050304060706022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#28
23.80.9
21.822.7
Auto5.7
Teleop12.7
End5.4
blue by 2.5
3653
#10
26.31.6
24.823.2
Auto7.9
Teleop13.8
End4.6
Second
108
#12
22.80.9
21.122.0
Auto5.9
Teleop10.9
End6.0
red by 12.7
8823
#32
10.12.7
14.011.3
Auto4.5
Teleop1.4
End4.2
Third
4764
#42
5.90.9
4.25.1
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End2.8
blue by 1.0
6107
#34
6.91.6
7.76.1
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsMissed39%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsMissed