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Red48
823213.7
349015.1
201015.8
Blue33
401310.0
12023.8
69373.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45442030405060704833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2010
#16
15.80.1
15.015.1
Auto3.0
Teleop8.4
End4.3
blue by 8.0
120
#28
23.81.1
22.721.6
Auto5.7
Teleop12.7
End5.4
Second
3490
#27
15.10.1
14.114.2
Auto5.2
Teleop4.2
End5.7
red by 5.1
4013
#40
10.01.1
11.110.0
Auto2.6
Teleop6.8
End0.5
Third
8232
#19
13.70.1
12.913.1
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End5.5
red by 9.8
6937
#43
3.91.7
7.55.8
Auto1.8
Teleop0.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed32%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsEarned15%Hangar oddsMissed