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Red74
381422.7
651727.0
841313.6
Blue60
47645.9
693619.3
711125.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65512040801001207460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.00.4
24.625.0
Auto9.1
Teleop11.6
End6.3
red by 1.3
25.60.7
26.326.9
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End5.5
Second
3814
#23
22.70.4
23.323.8
Auto5.6
Teleop4.0
End13.1
red by 3.4
6936
#17
19.30.4
18.318.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.9
End5.0
Third
8413
#24
13.60.7
11.612.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End3.4
red by 7.6
4764
#42
5.90.4
5.15.5
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
52%Cargo oddsMissed44%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsEarned37%Hangar oddsMissed