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Red99
682331.3
346510.8
36451.2
Blue120
5933.3
255622.5
365326.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101675015099120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#1
51.20.3
49.449.7
Auto13.6
Teleop25.7
End11.9
red by 17.8
59
#2
33.33.0
27.130.0
Auto9.7
Teleop14.0
End9.7
Second
31.30.3
30.330.6
Auto8.2
Teleop17.1
End6.0
red by 5.0
3653
#10
26.33.0
23.226.1
Auto7.9
Teleop13.8
End4.6
Third
3465
#45
10.80.3
11.211.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End4.2
blue by 11.7
2556
#26
22.53.0
17.420.3
Auto6.5
Teleop7.1
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned46%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsEarned66%Hangar oddsEarned