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Red82
541021.9
381422.7
693619.3
Blue19
74307.8
882310.1
47645.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions742104060801001208219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3814
#23
22.70.5
23.824.3
Auto5.6
Teleop4.0
End13.1
red by 12.6
8823
#32
10.10.7
12.712.0
Auto4.5
Teleop1.4
End4.2
Second
5410
#14
21.90.5
19.920.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End4.9
red by 14.1
7430
#46
7.80.5
8.37.8
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End2.2
Third
6936
#17
19.30.5
18.719.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.9
End5.0
red by 13.3
4764
#42
5.90.5
5.55.0
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
56%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsMissed