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Red56
381422.7
297322.4
349.7
Blue35
346510.8
44713.9
12023.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483301020406070805635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3814
#23
22.70.7
22.923.6
Auto5.6
Teleop4.0
End13.1
blue by 1.2
120
#28
23.80.1
19.019.2
Auto5.7
Teleop12.7
End5.4
Second
2973
#25
22.40.6
10.711.4
Auto7.7
Teleop5.5
End9.2
red by 11.6
3465
#45
10.80.2
9.09.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End4.2
Third
34
#35
9.70.6
9.39.9
Auto2.4
Teleop5.9
End1.5
red by 5.8
4471
#47
3.90.1
4.95.0
Auto3.3
Teleop1.6
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsMissed