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Red45
400518.2
605518.6
79106.9
Blue18
57295.4
710610.8
500610.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50270204060801004518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.60.1
18.718.6
Auto4.0
Teleop2.4
End12.1
red by 7.8
10.80.3
11.310.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End3.3
Second
4005
#11
18.20.1
18.318.3
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End4.4
red by 7.5
5006
#18
10.70.3
11.210.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End3.2
Third
7910
#12
6.90.1
7.07.0
Auto3.7
Teleop0.1
End3.1
red by 1.5
5729
#16
5.40.3
5.95.5
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End2.4