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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1285210015020012076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.1
48.748.8
Auto10.4
Teleop26.4
End8.6
red by 8.0
37.30.9
35.536.4
Auto9.0
Teleop19.8
End8.5
Second
16
#1
40.80.1
38.538.6
Auto9.9
Teleop20.1
End10.8
red by 27.4
190
#10
13.30.9
13.414.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End1.5
Third
30.50.2
23.323.5
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End8.1
red by 23.6
7910
#12
6.91.5
9.911.4
Auto3.7
Teleop0.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned41%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned53%Hangar oddsMissed