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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1072204060801201401608055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.9
48.847.9
Auto10.4
Teleop26.4
End8.6
red by 22.3
23.11.1
20.221.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End8.1
Second
37.30.9
35.034.1
Auto9.0
Teleop19.8
End8.5
red by 26.6
5006
#18
10.71.1
9.210.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End3.2
Third
7483
#19
-1.81.4
5.44.0
Auto0.9
Teleop-1.7
End-1.0
blue by 9.2
6840
#13
7.41.6
1.83.5
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsEarned6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsEarned