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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383101020506070802866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.60.7
13.012.3
Auto4.0
Teleop2.4
End12.1
blue by 12.0
30.53.5
13.817.3
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End8.1
Second
190
#10
13.30.4
13.913.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End1.5
blue by 4.9
4005
#11
18.23.5
12.616.1
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End4.4
Third
5006
#18
10.70.4
7.77.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End3.2
red by 6.2
4764
#15
4.53.5
3.97.4
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsEarned