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Red99
545430.5
393737.3
7483-1.8
Blue60
234123.1
173034.2
47644.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6766204060801009960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.8
36.136.9
Auto9.0
Teleop19.8
End8.5
red by 3.1
34.20.2
34.534.2
Auto8.5
Teleop20.8
End4.9
Second
30.50.8
29.330.1
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End8.1
red by 7.5
23.10.2
23.323.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End8.1
Third
7483
#19
-1.80.8
-3.0-2.2
Auto0.9
Teleop-1.7
End-1.0
blue by 6.3
4764
#15
4.50.2
4.84.5
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.8
End2.3