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Red89
393735.8
50453.8
463543.3
Blue78
54378.7
545433.4
1631.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87762040601001208978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.2
42.442.6
Auto9.9
Teleop27.8
End5.6
red by 9.9
33.40.0
33.133.1
Auto8.5
Teleop20.2
End4.8
Second
35.80.2
34.935.1
Auto8.9
Teleop18.6
End8.3
red by 4.5
16
#4
31.40.0
31.031.0
Auto5.4
Teleop16.2
End9.7
Third
5045
#14
3.80.2
2.93.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.4
End-0.9
blue by 5.0
5437
#13
8.70.0
8.78.7
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End2.3