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Red45
545433.4
1631.4
500611.5
Blue34
65865.2
99906.3
605517.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions942604060801201401604534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.42.3
33.531.2
Auto8.5
Teleop20.2
End4.8
red by 16.0
17.40.4
17.217.6
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End11.4
Second
16
#4
31.42.3
34.231.9
Auto5.4
Teleop16.2
End9.7
red by 25.1
9990
#15
6.30.7
4.24.9
Auto0.9
Teleop4.1
End1.1
Third
11.52.3
12.29.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End2.6
red by 6.3
6586
#11
5.20.4
6.56.9
Auto1.4
Teleop1.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsMissed2%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed