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Red50
605517.4
463543.3
59593.5
Blue16
65865.2
71066.9
500611.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691704060801001205016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.6
38.738.1
Auto9.9
Teleop27.8
End5.6
red by 31.8
11.50.5
10.19.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End2.6
Second
17.40.6
16.916.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End11.4
red by 10.5
6.90.5
5.95.3
Auto3.3
Teleop2.0
End1.7
Third
5959
#10
3.50.6
2.82.3
Auto1.8
Teleop-1.0
End2.8
blue by 1.7
6586
#11
5.20.5
7.87.3
Auto1.4
Teleop1.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
37%Cargo oddsMissed3%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsEarned9%Hangar oddsMissed