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Red85
393735.8
74833.8
545433.4
Blue91
463543.3
605517.4
500611.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71670204060801001201401608591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.81.2
34.936.1
Auto8.9
Teleop18.6
End8.3
blue by 7.5
43.31.5
38.540.0
Auto9.9
Teleop27.8
End5.6
Second
33.41.2
30.832.0
Auto8.5
Teleop20.2
End4.8
red by 16.0
17.41.5
16.417.9
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End11.4
Third
3.81.2
1.22.4
Auto2.0
Teleop1.0
End0.8
blue by 7.7
11.51.5
9.210.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
66%Cargo oddsEarned28%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned60%Hangar oddsMissed