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Red10
500611.5
50453.8
54378.7
Blue28
74833.8
605517.4
99906.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263101020405060701028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.51.1
12.511.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End2.6
blue by 5.9
17.40.1
17.217.3
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End11.4
Second
5437
#13
8.71.1
9.88.7
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End2.3
red by 2.4
9990
#15
6.30.1
5.55.7
Auto0.9
Teleop4.1
End1.1
Third
5045
#14
3.81.1
3.72.6
Auto2.3
Teleop2.4
End-0.9
Level
3.80.1
3.33.4
Auto2.0
Teleop1.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed3%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed