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Red26
50453.8
59593.5
1631.4
Blue54
500611.5
74303.8
463543.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475502040801001202654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#4
31.41.6
35.333.8
Auto5.4
Teleop16.2
End9.7
blue by 12.0
43.30.2
37.737.9
Auto9.9
Teleop27.8
End5.6
Second
5045
#14
3.81.6
7.86.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.4
End-0.9
blue by 7.7
11.50.2
10.410.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End2.6
Third
5959
#10
3.51.6
2.20.6
Auto1.8
Teleop-1.0
End2.8
blue by 0.3
3.80.2
2.93.1
Auto1.3
Teleop0.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsMissed52%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed