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Red100
393735.8
50453.8
463543.3
Blue33
59593.5
99906.3
74833.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9732040608012014016010033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.3
42.142.4
Auto9.9
Teleop27.8
End5.6
red by 37.0
9990
#15
6.30.4
5.76.0
Auto0.9
Teleop4.1
End1.1
Second
35.80.3
34.634.9
Auto8.9
Teleop18.6
End8.3
red by 32.0
3.80.4
3.43.8
Auto2.0
Teleop1.0
End0.8
Third
5045
#14
3.80.3
2.62.9
Auto2.3
Teleop2.4
End-0.9
red by 0.3
5959
#10
3.50.4
2.93.3
Auto1.8
Teleop-1.0
End2.8