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Red61
558428.8
64348.8
313229.7
Blue28
64326.8
712815.9
88758.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54300204060801001206128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.71.5
21.122.6
Auto10.0
Teleop15.6
End4.1
red by 13.8
7128
#15
15.90.4
15.615.2
Auto6.0
Teleop9.2
End0.7
Second
28.81.5
19.420.9
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End8.5
red by 20.5
8875
#11
8.30.4
8.78.3
Auto3.4
Teleop-0.5
End5.3
Third
6434
#16
8.81.5
6.98.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End1.5
red by 2.0
6432
#26
6.80.4
7.36.9
Auto3.4
Teleop1.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed