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Red58
47394.1
313229.7
743319.0
Blue42
598523.8
60357.3
55646.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343101020405060705842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.72.5
12.314.8
Auto10.0
Teleop15.6
End4.1
red by 5.8
5985
#14
23.80.9
12.913.8
Auto6.6
Teleop12.0
End5.3
Second
19.02.5
11.113.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End3.3
red by 11.7
6035
#17
7.30.9
8.59.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End0.4
Third
4739
#24
4.12.5
8.310.8
Auto3.0
Teleop0.4
End0.6
blue by 2.0
5564
#23
6.10.9
8.59.4
Auto3.9
Teleop2.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed