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Red18
71638.1
45377.6
88758.3
Blue23
64764.8
477428.9
59885.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23440103040506070801823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8875
#11
8.30.6
9.48.9
Auto3.4
Teleop-0.5
End5.3
blue by 20.6
28.91.8
25.223.4
Auto10.1
Teleop17.3
End1.4
Second
7163
#21
8.10.6
9.89.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.2
End1.0
red by 2.6
5988
#22
5.51.8
8.66.8
Auto2.3
Teleop-0.7
End3.9
Third
4537
#18
7.60.6
5.14.5
Auto1.1
Teleop4.1
End2.4
red by 2.8
6476
#13
4.81.9
5.13.1
Auto1.9
Teleop1.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsMissed