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Red23
88448.1
55646.1
60503.0
Blue11
64348.8
71638.1
58768.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15350204060802311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8844
#20
8.10.2
8.18.0
Auto4.5
Teleop1.4
End2.2
blue by 0.8
5876
#27DQ
8.92.0
9.87.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.7
Second
5564
#23
6.10.2
4.84.6
Auto3.9
Teleop2.0
End0.2
blue by 2.7
6434
#16
8.82.0
11.08.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End1.5
Third
6050
#25
3.00.2
3.83.6
Auto0.8
Teleop2.9
End-0.8
blue by 5.2
7163
#21
8.12.0
9.27.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
5%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed