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Red58
60357.3
477428.9
64326.8
Blue83
313229.7
758314.1
651024.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31670204060801001201405883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.91.6
23.425.0
Auto10.1
Teleop17.3
End1.4
blue by 0.8
29.71.7
27.328.9
Auto10.0
Teleop15.6
End4.1
Second
6035
#17
7.31.6
6.58.1
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End0.4
blue by 16.7
24.11.7
21.623.3
Auto6.9
Teleop8.7
End8.5
Third
6432
#26
6.81.6
4.15.7
Auto3.4
Teleop1.3
End2.1
blue by 7.3
14.11.7
9.611.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed55%Hangar oddsEarned